currency and banking Overview

Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Zhewen Internet: Zhejiang Internet (600986) announced on the evening of December 11th that the company intends to authorize the management of the company to make an independent decision to dispose of the stock of Doushen Education Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Doushen Education") held by the company through centralized bidding or block trading. The authorization period is within 36 months from the date of deliberation and approval by the shareholders' meeting. As of the date of announcement, the company holds 61.06 million shares of Doushen Education, accounting for 2.95% of the total share capital of Doushen Education, and will lift the restriction on sales on December 29, 2024.UBS: It is estimated that by 2025, the price of Brent crude oil will rise to $80/barrel and WTI crude oil will rise to $75/barrel. Have a constructive view on the prospect of natural gas price in 2025 (the forecast is $3.50/million British heat in June and $3.60/million British heat in September).

The Israeli army warned Lebanese residents not to move to southern Lebanon. On the 11th local time, Adrahi, Arabic spokesperson of the Israel Defense Forces, posted a message on the social media platform, asking Lebanese residents not to move to more than 60 villages and their surrounding areas in southern Lebanon until further notice. The Israeli army provided a schematic diagram of the warning area and warned that anyone moving south of the area would put himself in danger. (CCTV News)The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia.Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement, and Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Shenzhen. According to the agreement, Tianyuan Environmental Protection and Huawei will adhere to the principle of "complementary advantages, mutual benefit and win-win, long-term cooperation and common development" and explore innovative cooperation paths around intelligent optical storage, low-carbon artificial intelligence intelligent calculation, digital construction and application of comprehensive smart energy. In the development of large-scale photovoltaic and energy storage projects, the two sides will build a national-level "photovoltaic intelligent operation and maintenance" demonstration benchmark and explore a grid-type energy storage application model project. By establishing a long-term and stable all-round cooperative relationship, we will deepen cooperation and exchanges and promote the high-quality development of the industry. (Tianyuan Environmental Protection)

According to the data released by Shanghai Steel Union, the price of battery-grade lithium carbonate (in early trading) was the same as that of the previous day, with an average price of 76,450 yuan/ton.Comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index fell by 0.77%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.31%, Hong Kong stocks closed, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 0.77%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.31%, dropped by over 5%, and JD.COM Group and Meituan fell by over 2%.Meifeng, Sichuan: The wellhead natural gas trial production and recovery project has entered the trial production stage. meifeng, Sichuan announced that the trial production and recovery project of "Jinshi 103 Well" invested and built by Dongcai Shuangrui has completed the joint commissioning, and the trial production LNG products meet the requirements of national standards and are now entering the trial production stage. The total investment of the project is about 70 million yuan, and the main construction content is a set of wellhead gas trial production recovery device with a daily processing capacity of 200,000 m and supporting utilities and auxiliary facilities.